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Ryan O'Farrell

@ryanmofarrell

Non-state actors and conflicts / mostly East Africa / Ohioan / Defections Operations Coordinator at the Bridgeway Foundation / @SAISHopkins alum
Joined March 2014
2K Following 15K Followers 23K Posts

Latest posts 5

Ryan O'Farrell @ryanmofarrell
Last night's massacre in Cantine is the latest in a series of attacks led by Tanzanian commander Abuwakas, covering 120km over five weeks.

Illustrates how ADF have dispersed into smaller, highly mobile assault teams capable of operating autonomously over long distances.
Dans la nuit du 5 novembre, les #ADF ont attaqué le village #Cantine en territoire de #Beni. Bilan provisoire : au moins 35 civils dont 17 enfants, tués à la machette ou brûlés vifs. 2 structures sanitaires, 17 maisons et 15 boutiques incendiées. 7 des otages ont été relâchés.
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Ryan O'Farrell @ryanmofarrell
“…while paying limited attention to the social and human dimensions of the ADF phenomenon”

Begging for someone to actually define what this even means. Still fighting for Rwenzururu? Ex-RCD bandits? Just something, anything, beyond vague insinuations of “complexity”
Caleb Weiss @caleb_weiss7 4d
Guys it’s 2026, almost 2027, it’s time to stop questioning if ADF is actually jihadist. It’s full on Islamic State now, and quite enthusiastically so. This is just willful ignorance at this point.
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Ryan O'Farrell @ryanmofarrell
Regarding Tim Kennedy, it’s very weird that people are still talking about “Rwanda-backed M23 insurgents” as if it’s just some insurgency supplied by Kigali. It’s not. This is a conventional interstate war involving three state militaries and ~100k auxiliary militia combatants.
Special Ops Magazine Verified account @specialopsmag Oct 9
JUST IN: Forces tied to Erik Prince’s Vectus Global were ambushed in South Kivu in Congo on September 17 while moving between locations, Reuters reported today.

About 20 people were killed or wounded, including at least seven Congolese and a former New Zealand SAS operator. Former UFC fighter and Green Beret Tim Kennedy was also wounded.

Sources said the attack’s sophistication points to Rwandan forces backing M23 (March 23 Movement), the main rebel group fighting the Congolese army. One government source said those forces may have tracked a Vectus surveillance drone to the team.

Vectus, which also works in Haiti, had been hired to help secure mineral revenue and earlier supported Congolese troops around Uvira.
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Ryan O'Farrell @ryanmofarrell
Hot take: two state solution on the 1967 lines but Israeli settlers are given the choice to remain and become Palestinian citizens.

Some interesting symmetry in Palestinians being 19% of Israel’s population while Jews are 19% of the West Bank’s population.