Twitxy Saved

Vishal Maini

Verified account This account is verified. Learn more

@v_maini

above all shadows rides the sun // now @mythosventures prev @googledeepmind @upstart
mythos.vc Joined December 2009
813 Following 5.3K Followers 1.8K Posts

Latest posts 5

Vishal Maini Verified account @v_maini
as far as I can tell, here are the stated views of tier 1 VC firms on extinction risk from AI so far:

- Denied/dismissed explicitly: @a16z, @khoslaventures, @benchmark

- Silent: @sequoia, @generalcatalyst, @ThriveCapital, @kleinerperkins, @IndexVentures, @Accel, @benchmark, @lightspeedvp

- Acknowledged the possibility: Thiel / @foundersfund, @GreylockVC

- Firm-level stance that avoiding human extinction is an active priority: none yet.

Who is going to lead from the front here?

We've all read the Hugging Face report, we are all staring down the cyber-offensive exponential, biological threats and attacks on physical infrastructure are not far off, and we are still early in navigating the threat landscape. There is no later time at which it will make more sense to act than today.

The frontier labs are already pulling out all the stops. Investors are a major power bloc at the frontier, they can see what's happening more clearly than almost anyone else. They need not see themselves as spectators to an unfolding drama, but instead can be -- and ought to be -- active participants in hardening civilizational defenses during the critical window (now).

That starts by taking ownership of the problem, in no unclear terms, and orienting towards sufficient (not cosmetic) solutions.
Vishal Maini Verified account @v_maini Oct 27
Not many people seem to know about Metaplanet, Jaan Tallinn's VC firm.

They are the most AGI-pilled firm on the planet, and are about to flip many of the tier 1s.

> Invested in @GoogleDeepMind in 2011
> Led @AnthropicAI series A in 2021
> Doubled down on Anthropic in every round since. IRR hurdle for deploying capital into anything else was {absurdly high number}% for years
> Anchored the premier AGI hedge funds (+Mythos) + in-house public equities strategy

4-person team in Estonia now managing 10s of billions AUM, liquid after $ANT IPO.

Rationalist roots --> zero bureaucracy, cares about human survival & flourishing as north star, doesn't care who else is investing or how high status a founder / idea is

Founders: congrats! you no longer need to play status games to raise a mega round for your civilization-scale moonshot. You can just pitch @metaplanetfund
View quoted post on X
7 replies 11 reposts 95 likes 15K views View on X
Vishal Maini Verified account @v_maini
Not many people seem to know about Metaplanet, Jaan Tallinn's VC firm.

They are the most AGI-pilled firm on the planet, and are about to flip many of the tier 1s.

> Invested in @GoogleDeepMind in 2011
> Led @AnthropicAI series A in 2021
> Doubled down on Anthropic in every round since. IRR hurdle for deploying capital into anything else was {absurdly high number}% for years
> Anchored the premier AGI hedge funds (+Mythos) + in-house public equities strategy

4-person team in Estonia now managing 10s of billions AUM, liquid after $ANT IPO.

Rationalist roots --> zero bureaucracy, cares about human survival & flourishing as north star, doesn't care who else is investing or how high status a founder / idea is

Founders: congrats! you no longer need to play status games to raise a mega round for your civilization-scale moonshot. You can just pitch @metaplanetfund
12 replies 18 reposts 374 likes 43K views View on X
Vishal Maini Verified account @v_maini
Frontier slowdown means buying a bit of time for 1,000x-1,000,000x more cognitive labor to go towards alignment and interpretability research than went into this + all preceding work.

Stop at human level, don’t do RSI, solve the problems, handover (if safe). There is hope
Nick Verified account @nickcammarata Oct 15
interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had

with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works

already-clean.goodfire.com
View quoted post on X