Weather Trader

Weather Trader Super MOS

RRFS, HRRR, and ECMWF-Downscale, with more models being trained using MOS equations.

Ensemble (BMA) --> individual members, too.

weathertrader.com/supermos

Can we beat the markets? Sure, but the fees on trades make it unprofitable overall. 📉

Also, what happens when we add our information to the market, too? 🧐

weathertrader.com/desk/SFO

Google Deep Mind WeatherNext 3 is an upgrade with more skillful 500-mb geopotential height (ens-mean) forecasts at 5-days --> the headline metric used in this business.

+0.956 at 5-days > 0.953 for v3 over v2 and ahead of AIFS-ENS v2 (mean) at 0.941

That's a considerable gap. Looking forward to AIFS-ENS v3!

Verification at weathertrader.com/verify

Google Deep Mind has launched Weather Next 3 (WN3)

Their flagship global weather forecasting model using A.I. acceleration and world leading techniques.

WN2 was almost always the best skill forecast during the past 3-months. Can't wait to see how WN3 performs!

Weather model verification underway at
weathertrader.com/verify
including world-leading Google Deep Mind WeatherNext 2.