Yphtach Lelkes

1/ Why do people pile on to politically offensive speech online, fueling online firestorms? Our study (@chloeahn1016, @m_levendusky) in PNAS Nexus finds that these actions are less about being offended and more about signaling partisan identity and conforming to group norms. 🧵

Possibly nobody…

in 2022, young people who said they voted early tended to do so pretty late:

"Underconfident probability assessments are a rational way to hedge against the reputational loss of having the outcome fall outside a forecast interval"
cambridge.org/core/services/…

@PRL_Tweets has been collecting yougov data for over 2 years. Here is the raw (unweighted) makeup of party identity in the sample over time. Dems have been less likely to be in the survey, whiles Reps have been more likely.