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Koleman Strumpf

@KolemanStrumpf

Econ prof @WakeForest. Research interests = prediction mkts, digitization, public econ, media mkts, illicit mkts, ... co-organizer VIDE seminar @digitaleconorg
users.wfu.edu/strumpks Joined April 2022
285 Following 444 Followers 839 Posts

Latest posts 5

Koleman Strumpf @KolemanStrumpf
More on damaged election integrity by non-market forecasts.
Incoming MS Sen @scott_colom states fund raising significantly hindered by Cook's forecast. Echoes @HarryDCrane and my WSJ op-ed: polls and their cousins (not PMs!) are a danger for democracy.

x.com/WSJopinion/sta…
Scott Colom Verified account @scott_colom 2d
At some point, we have to talk about @CookPolitical and other “prognosticators” who had me and other southern candidates labeled as solid R for much of the campaign cycle. They made it much more difficult to fundraise and are part of the reason the South has been neglected for so long.

They’re only a reflection of the past and mysteriously avoid any accountability when they’re wrong. One of their “analysts” was extremely condescending to me (not Jessica) when I tried to make my pitch for why they were wrong about my rating like he knew something about MS politics when he’s never been to the Sip. This attitude hurt Jaime Davis & others so much.
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Koleman Strumpf @KolemanStrumpf
A curious thing about cases like this against @Kalshi is states forget their history. Utah for example:
- has a pretty good history of election betting in the early 20th Century (images via newspapers.com).
- legalized horse racing in the 1920s (utahcommhistory.com/2017/04/27/hor…)
Bloomberg Verified account @business Oct 29
Utah has filed criminal charges against Kalshi Inc, alleging the company illegally promoted online gambling in the state amid an escalating fight over prediction markets bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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