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Ryan E Carlin

@RyanECarlin1

Collaborations: @ExecApproval; @Pollitik_Lab; @PopulismTeam; Editor @RevistaLOP; Director @GSU_CHRD
Atlanta, GA sites.google.com/site/ryanecarl… Joined December 2020
2.7K Following 1.6K Followers 1.4K Posts

Latest posts 5

Ryan E Carlin @RyanECarlin1
The fun thing about forecasting elections with data from 1 year out is that you know you will be wrong! Candidate quality, e.g., is impossible to include, esp. before primaries even take place. Yet the exercise puts theoretical claims to the ultimate test--PREDICTION!
Tmw, 36 governorships are on the ballot. In Sept, EAD authors Greg Love, @RyanECarlin1 & @MattSingerPOLS registered fundamentals forecasts for all 36 built on approval measured a full year out, no polls, no candidates. How does it stack up against Sabato's Crystal Ball today? 🧵
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Ryan E Carlin @RyanECarlin1
New @PollitikLab features are rolling out. Great to see the new designs!
Pollitik @PollitikLab Nov 2
What’s the matter with Lee Jae Myung? 🇰🇷 His popularity peaked at 67.5% in April 2026, then fell to 41.3% by October. Our new Substack examines the election failures, cabinet turmoil, and housing pressure that unfolded alongside the decline. @ExecApproval #SouthKorean
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