@claudferraz
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Do candidates tilt the polls measuring their own support? Yes. In a new WP with @meirelesff, we find that in Brazil's 2024 mayoral elections at least 1 in 8 polls are paid for by a candidate or party in the race. Those polls overstate their sponsor by ~8 points.View quoted post on X
'This is a disaster': Angry Republicans blame Trump for shattering defeat bbc.in/3WrgdEjView quoted post on X
Brazil. Serbia. Israel (perhaps). America. The self correcting resilience of democracy. It takes time, true. But testimony that ordinary voters defend democracy (no 2 issue in the US exit poll). And protected by the courts, elections matter. A reality check for authoritarian leaders.View quoted post on X
