Jonathan Caverley

@jcaverley

Political scientist studying international security as Senior Fellow in Defence Strategy & Industrial Policy at the International Institute of Strategic Studies

Washington, DC jonathancaverley.com Joined March 2010

1.9K Following 3.8K Followers 3.3K Posts

Latest posts 5

Pinned post

Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley Dec 2, 2025

In @SurvivalEditors w/ Ethan Kapstein: Europe’s rearming & US shift to other theaters allow a better #NATO division of labor—EU industry/land power + US R&D/strategic enablers—to meet members’ regional AND global goals. Pace Kagan, we’re all Martians now! tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

www.tandfonline.com The Atlantic Alliance: Diverging Interests, Converging Policies Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and US President Donald Trump’s re-election have prompted fears about the health and durability of the NATO alliance. Such fears appear excessive. Alliance members are ...

Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley Oct 14

An essential resource for me!

Tom Shugart @tshugart3 Oct 14

Good morning! As a periodic reminder, for those who don't know and may be interested, I put out a semi-regular (i.e., when I feel like it) "Daily-Ish Update" covering the US-China military balance / competition.
You can subscribe for free and read it here:
thomasshugart.substack.com

View quoted post on X

Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley Oct 13

We seem to live in a counterintuitive world of both proliferating sea denial capability and continued growth and resilience of the global maritime economy. The role of naval power in managing this environment is far from clear to me.

ORF Mumbai Verified account @ORFMumbai Oct 12

Cheap missiles, #drones and uncrewed vessels are making sea denial accessible to states and non-state actors. Naval power can defeat attacks but cannot guarantee commercial confidence. Freedom now depends on resilient routes and markets: Jonathan D. Caverley & José Alberto González Aranda or-f.org/40599 #MaritimeSecurity
View quoted post on X

Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley Oct 8

Respectful and constructive debate on US forward presence in the Western Pacific between two analysts i respect deeply.

Jennifer Kavanagh @jekavanagh Oct 7

Thanks @tshugart3 for engaging with my argument. For me, the below is the key point, though I also don't think any amount of dispersion makes a FIC posture survivable or wise for the United States. In part, this i because of how I define U.S. interests. But, it is also a difference between U.S. in how we see the lessons of the war in Iran and the limits of what more dispersion can accomplish.
View quoted post on X

Jonathan Caverley @jcaverley Oct 8

I found myself playing an uncharacteristically optimistic role on an outstanding panel at #Sagarmanthan2026 on "Chokepoints and Shockwaves: Securing the Arteries of Global Trade." Thank you to @orfonline for another constructive and thought-provoking Dialogue!

ORF Verified account @orfonline Oct 8

@jcaverley: We actually live in the golden age of maritime commerce. Seaborne trade remains at all-time highs. Ships are cheaper, bigger and thus more flexible to take alternative routes. Insurance markets are robust; finance is diverse, deep and quite liquid. The world has never been better equipped to handle a crisis like this.

#Sagarmanthan2026 #GreatOceansDialogue

View quoted post on X