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Defense Priorities

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@defpriorities

The hub of realism and restraint in Washington.
Washington, DC defp.org Joined February 2016
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Defense Priorities Verified account @defpriorities
NEW EXPLAINER by DEFP Director of Military Analysis @jekavanagh: An access-only posture for the Middle East.

No vital American interest requires a significant, permanent military presence or a network of bases in the Middle East. The U.S. can meet its military objectives in the region by retaining only a small footprint of intelligence assets and the basing access needed to facilitate a rotational air and naval presence.

defensepriorities.org/explainers/an-…
www.defensepriorities.org An access-only posture for the Middle East - Defense Priorities Key points The United States has few core interests at stake in the Middle East. The region contains only minor […]
Defense Priorities Verified account @defpriorities
"The American people never thought bombing Iran was necessary, were deprived of any halfway convincing argument from the administration when the bombing started, and have been left to deal with the economic fallout[.]"

-@DanDePetris in @chitribopinions:

chicagotribune.com/2026/11/10/col…
www.chicagotribune.com Daniel DePetris: What a Democratic Congress means for Iran, Israel and Ukraine Foreign policy is going to come in for massive scrutiny. Given Donald Trump’s record to date, oversight is sorely needed.
Defense Priorities Verified account @defpriorities
DEFP Non-Resident Fellow Brian Haggerty speaks to @AamerISmad on what comes next in Iran:

“There’s reason to suspect that Trump may feel less restrained given that the political damage is done. At the same time, the strategic calculus or the strategic logic of what you hope to achieve through an escalation of strikes against Iran is no different today than it was a week ago or a month ago.”

apnews.com/article/trump-…
apnews.com After midterm loss, Trump is left to weigh his next move in Iran war that contributed to GOP debacle President Donald Trump faces a tough decision on his unpopular war against Iran after the Republican Party's midterm losses.
Defense Priorities Verified account @defpriorities
Even once the Iran war ends, there will be no revival of the status quo ante bellum.

“It’s never going to be back to its prewar days, when shipping through the strait was cheap and easy and everybody did it."

-@RKelanic in NYT

nytimes.com/2026/11/01/bus…
www.nytimes.com How a Little-Known Company Dominated the Persian Gulf Oil Trade South Korea’s Sinokor controls about half the tanker transits through the Strait of Hormuz, benefiting from a big bet just before the war in Iran started.