It's not a competition between PMs and modelers lol
Smart PM traders use models folks like Nate create or create their own, like we've done at @QuotientHQ, to price and compare markets
@GollumGekko1 said it perfectly: "PMs are aggregators and bullshit testers of information; they don't create information on their own"
Smart PM traders use models folks like Nate create or create their own, like we've done at @QuotientHQ, to price and compare markets
@GollumGekko1 said it perfectly: "PMs are aggregators and bullshit testers of information; they don't create information on their own"
OK, wrote about the models vs. prediction markets debate. Actually, the real stolen valor is from NYT/Siena. But prediction markets converged toward FLIPR/model prices, not the other way around, and the models got to the right answer sooner and more confidently.View quoted post on X
